Candlestick Daily volume index Bar reversal Edit

Backtest results

Position Trades Duration Win rate Win/loss Avg win Avg loss Return
Long 10 4.5 20% 25% 1.6% -0.8% -3.4%
Short 5 4.2 40% 67% 1.9% -3.2% -5.9%

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Trading Performance

Exponential Moving Average

Score

1.2

Position Trades Duration Win Rate Win/Loss Avg Win Avg Loss Return
LONG 28 16.6 0.43% 0.67% 25.3% -4.3% 227.1%
SHORT 28 10.9 0.25% 0.33% 20.5% -4.4% 52.2%

Summary

Technical Analysis

Kogan (KGN.AX)


Indicator:

EXPONENTIAL MOVING AVERAGE


Last Signal:

BULLISH


Trading: BUY @ $6.24
Signal Strength: STRONG
Recommendation:

Indicator can be used in isolation or in additional to another technical indicator to confirmation for trading entry. This indicator has the ability to highlight trends across numerous timeframes. This indicator has the ability to smooth historical results to illustrate trend initiation and status. Although this is a simple trend following indicator & can provide good results when coupled with the right indicator. Note, this indicator does not work well in ranging markets producing unwanted whipsaws and false signals.


Kogan (ASX:KGN) currently has a confirmed uptrend. Recent trading has caused the EMA 15 day average to exceed the closing price confirming the short term trend following indicator. Currently, the return on EMA15 is -1.1%.



An exponential moving average (EMA) is a type of moving average that is similar to a simple moving average except that more weight is given to the latest data. It’s also known as the exponentially weighted moving average. This type of moving average reacts faster to recent price changes than a simple moving average.

Calculation: Exponential Moving Average:
1) Initial SMA: n period sum / n;
2) Multiplier: (2 / (Time periods + 1));
3) EMA: {Close – EMA (previous day)} x multiplier + EMA (previous day).


PROFILE: Kogan (KGN.AX)


Stock Exchange: ASX
Company: Kogan
Ticker Codes: | KGN.AX | ASX:KGN |

About Kogan (ASX:KGN):

Kogan.Com Limited operates as an online retailer in Australia and internationally. It operates through Core Website Channels, New Verticals, and Other Revenue Streams segments. The company's product categories include groceries, consumer electronics, apparel and footwear, consumer appliances, home and garden, personnel and pet accessories, beauty and personal care, fashion, hardware, bathroom fittings, and anti-pest products, as well as baby, kids, and family; fitness and sports, outdoor and camping, and luggage; and pantry and other products. It also provides travel packages, as well as hotel and cruise booking services; and sells SIM cards and prepaid mobile phone plans through online. The company primarily sells private label and third party branded products. Kogan.Com Limited was founded in 2006 and is based in Melbourne, Australia.

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Exponential Moving Average

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